Publications

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2017

Kontis V*, Bennett JE*, Mathers CD, Li G, Foreman K, Ezzati M.

Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble.

Lancet, 2017, 389(10076): 1323-1335.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, methodology)

Foreman KJ, Li G, Best N, Ezzati M.

Small area forecasts of cause-specific mortality: application of a Bayesian hierarchical model to US vital registration data.

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 2017, 66(1): 121-139.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, methodology)

2015

Bennett JE, Li G, Kontis V, Foreman K, Ezzati M.

Future inequalities in life expectancy in England and Wales – Authors' reply.

Lancet, 2015, 386(10011): 2391-2392.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, methodology)

Kontis V, Mathers CD, Bonita R, Stevens GA, Rehm J, Shield KD, Riley LM, Poznyak V, Jabbour S, Garg RM, Hennis A, Fouad HM, Beaglehole R, Ezzati M.

Regional contributions of six preventable risk factors to achieving the 25 × 25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a modelling study.

Lancet Global Health, 2015, 3(12): e746–e757.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

Bennett JE*, Li G*, Foreman K, Best N, Kontis V, Pearson C, Hambly P, Ezzati M. * Equal contributions

The future of life expectancy and life expectancy inequalities in England and Wales: Bayesian spatiotemporal forecasting.

Lancet, 2015, 386(9989): 163-170.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, health inequalities, methodology)

Pan SC, Ku CC, Kao D, Ezzati M, Fang CT, Lin HH.

Effect of diabetes on tuberculosis control in 13 countries with high tuberculosis: a modelling study.

Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology, 2015, 3(5): 323-330.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

2014

Kontis V, Mathers CD, Rehm J, Stevens GA, Shield KD, Bonita R, Riley LM, Poznyak V, Beaglehole R, Ezzati M.

Contribution of six risk factors to achieving the 25×25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a modelling study.

Lancet, 2014, 384(9941): 427-437.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

2008

Lin HH, Murray MM, Cohen T, Colijn C, Ezzati M.

Effects of smoking and solid-fuel use on COPD, lung cancer, and tuberculosis in China: a time-based, multiple-risk-factor modelling study.

Lancet, 2008, 372(9648): 1473-1483.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: air pollution and climate, health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

Yeh JM, Kuntz KM, Ezzati M, Hur C, Kong J, Goldie SJ.

Development of an empirically calibrated model of gastric cancer in two high-risk countries.

Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention, 2008, 17(5): 1179-1187.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

2005

Bailis R, Ezzati M, Kammen DM.

Mortality and greenhouse gas impacts of biomass and petroleum energy futures in Africa.

Science, 2005, 308(5718): 98-103.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: air pollution and climate, child health, health forecasting, non-communicable diseases)

2004

Murray CJL, Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A, Vander Hoorn S.

Comparative quantification of health risks: conceptual framework and methodological issues

Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A; Murray CJL (Ed.): Comparative Quantification of Health Risks: The Global and Regional Burden of Disease Attributable to Selected Major Risk Factors: 1-38 Geneva, 2004, .

(Links | BibTeX | Tags: air pollution and climate, child health, health forecasting, methodology, non-communicable diseases, nutrition)

2003

Murray CJL, Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A, Vander Hoorn S.

Comparative quantification of health risks: conceptual framework and methodological issues.

Population Health Metrics, 2003, 1: 1.

(Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Tags: air pollution and climate, child health, health forecasting, methodology, non-communicable diseases, nutrition)